Sleepy Joe Ahead in All Four Early Voting States

Sleepy Joe Ahead in All Four Early Voting States

For some time now, former Vice President and current White House hopeful Joe Biden’s candidacy has seemed to be on thin ice. In October, the polls screamed out Warren’s name. In November, Mayor Pete Buttigieg took center stage. And in December, the socialistic Sanders soared in the polls, leaving many to count Biden out of the presidential race.

But now, after a few months of floundering, he has not only made a comeback but, according to new polls, is actually on top in all four early voting states. Although, if we look closer at the RCP national average, we can see that Biden only spent one day, not in first place.

All of this has a slightly familiar feel to it if you think about it. Trump’s polling in 2016 was somewhat similar. In October, he was shown to be clearly behind Hillary Clinton after the “Access Hollywood” tapes were released. But then came some change. As the race dwindled, all those who were undecided began to choose a side, decreasing the deficit between the two candidates.

And that is precisely what seems to be happening here. With each poll taken, there are fewer and fewer voters who claim to be undecided. And it seems that most are putting their eggs in Biden’s basket. And given a choice between him and the other three in the top four, we don’t blame them.

After all, he is the safest pick, the “name brand.” One who is well known and been around forever. Voters feel comfortable with him.

It’s reminiscent of Republican Mitt Romney’s presidential run in 2012, as well as McCain’s in 2008. In the case of Romney, each of his opponents for the GOP nomination did well in the polls at one time or another. However, in the end, the voters went with the “safe” choice. McCain, similarly, had voters undecided for months before they chose him for the nomination. And why? Because they knew him best.

As I mentioned before, Biden is the most well-known and, therefore, he is the most electable. And the polls are beginning to show evidence to that.

However, in looking at the numbers above, there are at least two things I must point out.

The first is that Nevada has only had one poll since November. So while Biden is shown a significant lead at the moment there, it is based on a single questionnaire. In just a few weeks, that could change drastically.

The second note I must make is that in both Iowa and New Hampshire, his lead on Sanders is barely a lead at all. in New Hampshire, he is up by only 1 point, and in Iowa, even less at a mere .4th of a point. If anything at all happens within the next few weeks, in any candidate’s campaign, Biden’s lead might be forgotten. Then again, Bernie is still doing well at the moment, so it might be sooner than we think.

Furthermore, we must also note that these new RCP averages come from two individual polls that currently show Biden ahead.

The first comes from Monmouth in Iowa and shows him to lead by six points. But other Iowa polls show a much different outcome, such as one by the Des Moines Register that has Sanders in the lead by five points, and Biden in fourth place with only 15%. So the question is which Iowa poll is the outlier here?

When it comes to New Hampshire, the Boston Herald poll “has Biden in first place at 26%, followed by Bernie Sanders at 22% and Warren at 18%. Pete Buttigieg attracts 7% and late entrant Michael Bloomberg 4%… The poll results represent a significant change from a poll in October that showed Warren (25%) and Biden (24%) in a statistical dead heat. But Warren was also polling much higher nationally at that point,” according to NBC.

This the floundering I talked about earlier. As mentioned above, Biden had 24% in October. This then dropped to a mere 13.7 in the state in early December. But he has surged since the Christmas holiday and has been in the lead or nearly so in all four of the latest polls.

Once again, this trend speaks of his electability. As the race winds down, those who see Bernie and Warren as too far left, and Buttigieg as too young and green, Biden seems the obvious choice. But it doesn’t mean anyone else can be counted out just yet.

editor

15 thoughts on “Sleepy Joe Ahead in All Four Early Voting States

  1. I only HOPE that the “DEMWITT NATIONAL COMMUNIST COMMITTIEE” (DNCC) select’s JOE as there CAN’Tidate! at the DEMWITT CORNYVENTION! Best move Trump could make after he wins the CLOWN CIRCUS IMPEACHMENT hoax!

  2. No one who is a THINKING human being would VOTE for any of these RABID Socialist Democrats. Just put a little THOUGHT into it, and the OUTCOME of what they stand for would produce some SERIOUSLY disturbing results. I don’t vote for SERIOUSLY stupid INSANITY, and YOU shouldn’t either. Don’t vote for ANY of these Democratic candidates if you care for YOUR country! Team Trump and his allies 2020.

  3. I am aware of hundreds of reason not to vote for any of these Democratic candidates and can’t think of one reason to vote for them. Although none of those candidates will tell you this, but they all want to tax us into the poor house and make us wards of the government. You know what I mean – free everything. The only problem is we will never be able to afford all the free stuff. It is time for all loyal Americans to decide which way they want to go – to stand up on their own two feet and make their own decisions on how they live their lives, or roll over and play dead to some half-smart person who barely speaks or understands English making rules for us to live by. I’ll be the one making decisions on how I live my life.

  4. Elect Biden and clean up the lawless. And corrupt trump administration Trump has to know that this is America and hes not a dictator like his best friend Putin. Time to really drain the swamp. And we should all pray that we never have another corrupt president like trump ever again

      1. So does that mean trump can break the law. Two wrongs don’t make a right. Obama is not in office. Is that the only defense you can muster for trump. To go back to what Obama did or what Hillary did or what Bill Clinton did how about the crimes trump is doing as we speak

  5. GO BIDEN, YOU WOULD BE IMPEACHED BEFORE YOU CAN CONFIRM YOU WERE A WINNER, BUT NO BIG DEAL, THERE HAS TO BE ANOTHER STOOL PIGEON, TO FUSH, AND YOU ARE IT. SORRY I CAN’T SEND YOU A PLANE OF CASH , NOT EVEN TOILET PAPER, JUST FLUSH ON YOU LAST WIPE!

  6. If Biden lies and stone walls and and learns to use cover ups like trump has done he may be president for 8 years joe learn all the lawless and corruption from trump before you take office

  7. The title said “Sleepy Joe Finally Gets Bragging Rights”
    I thought he tied his shoes and didn’t fall out of his chair!
    Dumb fuck doesn’t even know what planet he’s on most of the time!

  8. My reply is meant for Mr. Ladd, just reading the uneducated crap you have to say is proof you’re one of idiot deplorables Hilary was talking about. No decent patriotic republican would want to be in the same room with you.

  9. Breaking news report out of New York this morning is why Americans that want to have a decent, safe, prosperous America for our children & grandchildren to grow up in must vote for the Conservative Republican candidates in every election for the next 20 years. It will take that long to clean out the sewer of Democrats that have opened our country to the unsafe, liberal open border mind set. Last night an elderly woman, in her 90’s was murdered in New York by gang members, here in our country illegally. While murder in New York has become an acceptable daily occurrence these monsters also raped this woman before they murdered her. If & when the authorities even try to catch these heathens they will be handled with kid gloves, provided with every special service this country has to offer. The political winds in New York blow in the Liberal Democrats direction of giving the criminals just one more chance to rehabilitate themselves into upstanding citizens. Young men that would rape a woman in her 90’s can never be rehabilitated or worth saving. They are the dregs of society. We need to return them to their country of origin in a matchbox.

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