Joe Biden to Take Texas with a Running Mate Who is Hispanic
As Politico notes, Democrats are astonished that the presidential campaign of former Vice President Joe Biden has not imploded. The candidate, perhaps realizing that he might win the nomination by default, has openly started to muse about who his running mate might be. Politico also reports that Biden has said that he might consider two men and former presidential candidates from Texas, Julian Castro, and Beto O’Rourke.
“O’Rourke, a former Texas congressman and high-profile 2018 Senate candidate, was an early frontrunner for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination before fading into the field’s lower tiers and dropping out in early November. Castro, the former secretary of Housing and Urban Development under President Barack Obama, ended his yearlong campaign earlier this month after struggling in the polls. Biden said he has spoken with both of them since their exits.”
Both men have their advantages and disadvantages. They each come from a state with a lot of electoral votes. One is Hispanic and the other a fake Hispanic.
However, neither Castro nor Beto have held statewide office. To be sure, Beto came uncomfortably close to taking away Ted Cruz’s senate seat. However, since he first announced for president, the former congressman from El Paso has done his imploding thanks to bizarre behavior while on the campaign trail. He did not help matters when he came out for total gun confiscation in the wake of a pair of mass shootings in the Lone Star State, a place where “gun control” means a steady aim and close grouping of shots.
Castro’s main disadvantage is that soon after he quit the campaign trail, he endorsed one of Biden’s rivals. Sen. Elizabeth Warren. The Hill notes that Castro accused Biden of “forgetting what he said two minutes ago” during a debate segment on health care.
Still, analysts suggest that the mention of the two men from Texas was a good gambit, even before any votes have been counted in the primaries. If Biden survives that far, a primary win in Texas would go a long way toward cementing a win for the nomination. Some have suggested that the Lone Star State may be in play for the Democrats in the general election, thanks to changing demographics. If any Democratic candidate can win Texas, he or she will be ensured of a win in November.
Politico notes that Biden is also looking at a third former presidential candidate for a potential running mate.
Biden also told The Sacramento Bee on Tuesday that he would consider another former 2020 rival, California Sen. Kamala Harris, for “anything that she would be interested in,” including vice president. Harris and Biden notably sparred on the debate stage early in the primary process, when the senator was critical of Biden’s past opposition to federally mandated busing to diversify schools.”
No one thinks that, barring an unexpected implosion brought on by the excesses of one-party rule, that California will be in play in the general election. On the other hand, Harris is a “two-for” in the fact that she is both a woman and an African American. The mention could also be an attempt at locking down California’s primary votes.
In the meantime, Democratic insiders suspect that Biden may be in position for a win in Iowa, thanks to a curious phenomenon that happens as caucuses.
“His opponents are preparing for defections to Biden on caucus night from supporters of more moderate candidates who have dropped out already, or who fail to meet the 15 percent threshold necessary to win delegates. Rival campaigns are urgently working to persuade caucus-goers and potential endorsers in Iowa to shift their support elsewhere.”
Polling data suggests that four candidates, Biden, Sanders, Warren, and Buttigieg may emerge from Iowa with that 15 percent threshold. If all four survive throughout the primary season, with no one going to the convention with the required delegates to win on a first ballot, then the long-held dream of pundits everywhere occurs a brokered convention.
In a brokered convention scenario, depicted in the Gore Vidal play and film “The Best Man,” wheeling and dealing concerning offices, including the vice presidency, come into play. Whoever can bring the delegates to place a candidate over the top can write his or her ticket. That means that anyone can be on the number two spot on the Democratic ticket if he or she can make the best deal.